HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by halfwise on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:09 am

Eldorion wrote:They make calls based on a combination of exit polls and past precedent as well as the reporting precincts. If a race is close or a state is typically hard to say which way a state will go they'll wait until almost all the results are in, but a state which is traditionally goes a certain way they'll call it as soon as the polls close.

Thanks Eldo, seems a bit fishy to me given the small numbers, but they are probably right (though these same people did predict Dewey won).

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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by halfwise on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:10 am

Eldorion wrote:I would say that I hope Romney's impending defeat convinces the Republican Party that they need to move away from the far fringe of the party, but I had the same hope after McCain's loss in 2008 and look what happened. Rolling Eyes

McCain didn't convince them of anything because the true believers never considered him to be Republican anyway.

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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by Eldorion on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:11 am

halfwise wrote:Thanks Eldo, seems a bit fishy to me given the small numbers, but they are probably right (though these same people did predict Dewey won).

The entire Truman-Dewey election in 1948 was a huge learning experience for people trying to predict Presidential elections. They've really refined their craft since then. It's not always right, which is probably why some organizations wait longer to make any calls, but none of the quick calls so far have been unbelievable. They've also waited to call any of the close states. Even Pennsylvania took almost an hour and a half to call.
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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by Eldorion on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:11 am

halfwise wrote:McCain didn't convince them of anything because the true believers never considered him to be Republican anyway.

They'll say the same thing about Romney too.
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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by Pettytyrant101 on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:15 am

BBC still being fairly cautious- got it at 157 Obama 163 Romney

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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by Eldorion on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:20 am

BBC actually isn't too far behind the other networks. They seem split on whether Minnesota, Wisconsin, or both can be called yet but it seems that Obama will take those.
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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by Eldorion on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:21 am

New Mexico (five votes) called for Obama. My tally is 173-163 Obama now.
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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by CC12 35 on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:21 am

Sarah Palin wearing her daughters hair on FOX just now

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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by Eldorion on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:25 am

I don't think the FOX stream I found is the actual FOX channel. Sad

live.foxnews.com
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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by Eldorion on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:26 am

Also, Todd Akin -- the "legitimate rape" guy -- has lost to his challenger Claire McCaskill. cheers
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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by Eldorion on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:28 am

BBC and ABC tallies have finally caught up with mine. Follow Eldo News: first in the world when it comes to calling states! Laughing
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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by CC12 35 on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:29 am

Well what are you watching? What a Face '
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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by Pettytyrant101 on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:30 am

Todd Akin -- the "legitimate rape" guy -- has lost to his challenger Claire McCaskill.- Eldo

cheers


Last edited by Pettytyrant101 on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:30 am; edited 1 time in total

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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by Eldorion on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:30 am

Carly Castle wrote:Well what are you watching? What a Face '

http://live.foxnews.com/ like I said. I think it's an online-only stream. I turned that off though when there was no Palin. Razz

I'm also half-watching ABC on the big screen here on campus and clicking around to various other sites and streams.
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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by CC12 35 on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:31 am

I didn't post that comment while she was on air mind Smile x

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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by Eldorion on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:32 am

Worth noting is that Romney/Ryan lost Romney's home state (Massachusetts), Romney's childhood state (Michigan), and Paul Ryan's home state (Wisconsin). Lolololol.
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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by Eldorion on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:32 am

Carly Castle wrote:I didn't post that comment while she was on air mind Smile x

Ah, okay. I'm still pretty sure the stream I saw wasn't the real deal though.

Also, nice sig. Cool
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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by CC12 35 on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:35 am

You should have seen it, she looked like she was just about to burst into tears Sad

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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by Eldorion on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:37 am

I keep hearing about how salty Fox News are and I want to see it. Laughing How are you watching?
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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by David H on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:38 am

I'm just in from the field, getting some supper and listening on NPR. The last 6 pages here have given me a nice recap. Thanks all! Very Happy
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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by Eldorion on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:39 am

Hopefully it was as entertaining for you as it was for us. Very Happy
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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by Eldorion on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:40 am

NBC called Arizona for Romney. No one else is on that so far; NBC has been quick on the call so far tonight but no one has disagreed with them yet. Arizona is deep red so I'll trust them on this one.
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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by CC12 35 on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:42 am

Eldorion wrote:I keep hearing about how salty Fox News are and I want to see it. Laughing How are you watching?

Err, on a TV? #whataface What a Face

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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by Pettytyrant101 on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:43 am

Im watching fox on http://live.foxnews.com/

The female presenter is barely controlling her annoyance that its not going to plan.

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Re: HUSSEIN vs WILLARD: Rumble in the Electoral College

Post by Eldorion on Wed Nov 07, 2012 3:44 am

Carly Castle wrote:Err, on a TV? #whataface What a Face

Didn't know Fox was broadcast in Europe. #TheMoreYouKnow
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